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Senate Finance Committee Chairman Max Baucus, D-Mont., on March 26 introduced legislation, the Taxpayer Certainty and Relief Bill of 2009, that would permanently extend most of the middle-class tax cuts enacted in the Economic Growth and Tax Relief Reconciliation Act of 2001 (P.L. 107-16) and the Jobs and Growth Tax Relief Reconciliation Act of 2003 (P.L. 108-27). Baucus said the measure would not be offset and he is seeking passage in 2009.
The move flies in the face of President Obama's budget proposal for a five-year extension of the provisions in order to provide time to receive feedback from his newly created tax reform task force. The announcement is also contrary to the testimony of tax experts appearing at a Finance Committee hearing the same day on middle-class tax relief. Those experts said extension of the cuts would imperil an economic recovery. Most provisions of the Bush tax cuts are scheduled to expire at the end of 2010, as are the income tax cuts provided in the recent stimulus package (P.L. 111-5).
The Baucus bill provides for a permanent fix for the alternative minimum tax (AMT), making permanent the 2009 exemption levels and indexing them for inflation, and permanently allows the personal credits against the AMT. In addition, the legislation would make permanent the 2009 estate tax currently set at a 45-percent tax rate with a $3.5 million exemption, which would be indexed for inflation.
The proposal would also make permanent the 10-, 25-, and 28-percent tax rates, the child tax credit, reduced rates for capital gains and dividends, marriage penalty relief, the earned income tax credit, dependent and child care tax credit, and the adoption credit and adoption assistance programs.
On March 20, the Congressional Budget Office (CBO) released an updated economic forecast and a preliminary analysis of President Obama's budget, which estimated that adoption of the budget would result in a federal deficit equal to 5.7 percent of gross domestic product in fiscal year 2019 (TAXDAY, 2009/03/23, C.1). Former Joint Committee on Taxation Chief of Staff George Yin, now a professor of tax law at the University of Virginia, urged lawmakers to allow the Bush tax cuts to expire. "The reason is simple: the country cannot afford them," stated Yin.
Alan Viard of the American Enterprise Institute also recommended to the committee that Congress not adopt a significant package of permanent middle-class tax relief at this time. "Middle-class tax cuts provide limited incentives for the work and saving that drive economic growth while imposing substantial revenue costs," said Viard. "President Obama's proposals for middle-class tax relief would account for a significant part of the deficit."
Robert Greenstein, the executive director of the Center on Budget and Policy Priorities, cited a 2005 study by then-Brookings economist and now Office of Management and Budget Director Peter Orszag that examined the effects that extending the 2001 and 2003 tax cuts without paying for them would have on incentives for investment. The study found that, under most plausible assumptions, extending the tax cuts without paying for them would reduce incentives for investment.
Taxpayer Certainty and Relief Bill of 2009
SFC Release: Baucus Unveils Legislation to Provide Tax Certainty, Relief to Middle Income Families
SFC Release: Baucus Hearing Statement Regarding Middle Class Tax Policies
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