With the House poised to advance a second stimulus package when it returns in mid-November, and the latest gross domestic product (GDP) numbers showing the U.S. economy contracted in the third quarter of 2008, the White House remains firm in its position that a second economic package is not necessary. "We don't believe that's the right way to go," said Council of Economic Advisers Chairman Ed Lazear at a White House press briefing on October 30.
Lazear maintained that the $700 billion financial rescue package, the Emergency Economic Stabilization Act of 2008 (P.L. 110-343) provides "the appropriate stimulus right now." The Treasury Asset Rescue Program (TARP), established under the new law, aims to use multiple tools to address the capital and illiquid assets problem. Lazear said that TARP is "targeted at exactly the right thing." According to the White House official, TARP is the best way to resolve the current credit market crisis
The tax rebate checks issued earlier in the year were "effective, but effective for actually a shorter period of time than we thought," Lazear said. He added that the stimulus checks created a "consumption burst" and produced "some good growth in the second quarter" of 2008. "The question is whether we can do that again."
Lazear acknowledged that the soft labor market and high unemployment rates in many states "are not welcome." In an interview with CNN on October 26, Lazear noted that areas of the United States where the jobless rate exceeds 6 percent are already in a recession. Nonetheless, implementing TARP is "the best way to get us back to low unemployment," Lazear asserted.
GDP Numbers
Real GDP decreased at an annual rate of 0.3 percent in the third quarter of 2008, according to advance estimates released by the Commerce Department's Bureau of Economic Analysis on October 30, 2008. In the second quarter, real GDP increased 2.8 percent. Real gross domestic purchases, or purchases by U.S. residents of goods and services wherever produced, decreased 1.3 percent in the third quarter, compared with a decrease of 0.1 percent in the second quarter.
The decrease in real GDP reflected negative contributions from personal consumption expenditures (PCE), residential fixed investment and equipment and software that were largely offset by positive contributions from federal government spending, exports, private inventory investment, nonresidential structures and state and local government spending. Imports, which are a subtraction in the calculation of GDP, decreased.
By Paula Cruickshank and Chantal Mahler, CCH News Staff.