Federal Reserve Chairman Ben S. Bernanke said it is "appropriate" for Congress to be considering a fiscal stimulus program at this time, given the risk of a protracted economic slowdown. Bernanke said the size of the program should be "significant," but declined to suggest a specific dollar amount.
At a hearing of the House Budget Committee on October 20 Bernanke said any fiscal package should be structured so that its peak effects on aggregate spending and economic activity are "felt when they are most needed, namely, during the period in which economic activity would otherwise be expected to be weak."
Bernanke added that any fiscal package should be "well-targeted" in order to maximize the beneficial effects on spending and activity per dollar of increased federal spending or lost revenue. Meanwhile, Congress must be vigilant in ensuring that any allocated funds are used effectively and responsibly, and any program should be designed to limit longer term effects on the government's structural budget deficit, Bernanke said.
The Fed chairman also noted that, ideally, a fiscal package would not only boost overall spending and economic activity but would also redress specific factors that have the potential to extend or deepen the economic slowdown. If Congress proceeds with a fiscal package, Bernanke noted, it needs to include measures to help improve access to credit by consumers, homebuyers, businesses and other borrowers. "Such actions might be particularly effective at promoting economic growth and job creation," he said.
White House
Meanwhile, White House Press Secretary Dana Perino said that the administration is "open to ideas" about an economic stimulus plan and is continuing to have discussions with members of Congress on the matter. Perino, at an October 20 press briefing, cautioned that several of the programs under consideration in Congress "are coming in the cloak of being stimulative," but would not jumpstart the U.S. economy.
"It's clear that the things they've been suggesting so far wouldn't be stimulus in the short-term," said White House Deputy Press Secretary Tony Fratto. The administration intends to consult with the Fed chairman to make sure that "any elements of a program would actually stimulate the economy and meet that test," Perino noted.
Council of Economic Advisers Chairman Edward Lazear, in an interview on CNN's "Late Edition" on October 19, noted that some congressional proposals, such as building roads and bridges, might be good policy but will not turn the economy around in the short run. "That's something that Congress has to decide," Lazear added. The administration believes infrastructure projects are "simply too slow," he noted. The White House also objects to focusing on "one particular industry" to spur economic growth, Lazear pointed out.
The CEA chairman said the White House will use the following criteria to determine if an economic measure meets the administration's stimulus test: "Is it going to be effective? Is it going to move the economy in the right direction? And is it going to do it soon enough?"
Recession
Lazear, in the CNN interview, was the first administration official to use the word "recession" in describing current economic conditions in some areas of the United States. Pointing to portions of the country where the unemployment rate exceeds six percent, Lazear said, "I think anyone would characterize (that) as a recession."
The White House has supported extending unemployment compensation to those living in states with at least a six-percent jobless rate. Perino has indicated that the White House is open to continuing unemployment benefits in high unemployment states although its preference is to help people find jobs. Asked about Lazear's remarks regarding a U.S. recession, the White House spokeswoman said, "I think he was just talking about reality, and that there are some regions of the country that are hurting more than others, and our focus has to be on trying to help them."
By Sarah Borchersen-Keto and Paula Cruickshank, CCH News Staff